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A Comparative Study of Zero-Inflated, Hurdle Models with Artificial Neural Network in Claim Count Modeling

Publication Type : Journal Article

Publisher : International Journal of Statistics and Systems

Source : International Journal of Statistics and Systems, Volume 12, Issue 2, p.265-276 (2017)

Campus : Coimbatore

School : School of Engineering

Department : Mathematics

Year : 2017

Abstract : Modeling of claim frequency is a vital factor in the non-life insurance industry. The claim count data in non-life insurance may not follow the traditional regression count data models with the use of Poisson or negative binomial distribution in numerous circumstances due to excessive number of zeros in the real data set. If the excessive number of zeros is not considered with sufficient weight, it will lead to information shortage to get a accurate rate making for the non-life insurance portfolio. In this paper we compared different claim count models such as zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) regression model, hurdle model with back propagation neural network (BPNN) for modeling the count data which has excessive number of zeros. We shown from our empirical study that BPNN outperforms the conventionally used models and provided better fit to claim count data in terms of mean squared error (MSE).

Cite this Research Publication : Rajitha C. S. and K. M. Sakthivel, “A Comparative Study of Zero-Inflated, Hurdle Models with Artificial Neural Network in Claim Count Modeling”, International Journal of Statistics and Systems, vol. 12, no. 2, pp. 265-276, 2017.

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